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02/27/2008 - Arcadia, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Saturday's running of the $1 million Santa Anita Handicap has drawn 14 older thoroughbreds, the maximum allowed to start.
The 71st edition of the 1 1/8 mile 'Big Cap' will have a different feel from prior years. Two-time defending champion Lava Man is being held back from the race. Trained by Doug O'Neill, the seven-year-old gelding may return at the Hollywood Park spring/summer meet.
Go Between, winner of the Sunshine Millions Classic here, has post 12 with jockey Garrett Gomez returning to ride. Owned by Peter Vegso, Go Between is trained by Bill Mott and is 6-1 in the morning-line.
The five-year-old has 22 career starts with seven wins for more than $1.8 million. While 19 of those starts have been on the turf, Go Between won last year's Fayette Stakes at Keeneland on a synthetic surface.
Trainer Craig Dollase's two horses entered into the "Big Cap' are the top two choices in the program. Veteran runner Awesome Gem is the 4-1 favorite with Strub Stakes winner Monterey Jazz listed at 5-1. Awesome Gem will break from post five with David Flores riding and to his outside in post six will be Monterey Jazz and rider Russell Baze.
"Russell rode him when the horse broke his maiden, so we think he's a great fit," Dollase said. "He knows the horse's ability and he's excited about coming here to ride him."
Awesome Gem is owned by West Point Thoroughbreds and is after his first win since an allowance race last June at Hollywood Park. The winner of last year's San Fernando Breeders' Cup, the gelding has earnings of better than $1.61 million in 16 lifetime starts. He has been in the money 13 times with four wins and seven second place finishes.
Monterey Jazz is working on a three race win streak. Prior to his victory in the Strub, the four-year-old won the Sir Beaufort on the turf following an allowance win.
"He's really improved immensely," said Dollase after the Strub Stakes, "and hopefully we've got some bigger and better races down the road. He's really a freak of nature. We obviously found the right key with him now. He probably wanted to stretch out all along and I just didn't know that, so we've got a brand new horse on our hands, and he's the real deal."
Owned by A & R Stables and Class Racing Stable, Monterey Jazz has won five of 11 career starts for $347,740.
Here is the complete field for the 1 1/4 Santa Anita Handicap in post position order: Champs Elysees, Ramon Dominguez, 10-1; Tiago, Mike Smith, 6-1; Big Booster, Michael Baze, 15-1; Medici Code, Martin Pedroza, 15-1; Awesome Gem, David Flores, 4-1; Monterey Jazz, Russell Baze, 5-1; Zappa, Joel Rosario, 15-1; Seminole Native, Jose Valdivia Jr., 30-1; Celtic Dreamin, Alex Solis, 20-1; Heatseeker, Rafael Bejarano, 8-1; Student Council, Richard Migliore, 12-1; Go Between, Garrett Gomez, 6-1; Great Hunter, Victor Espinoza, 8-1, and Air Commander, Aaron Gryder, 20-1.
The 'Big Cap' has a scheduled post-time of 7 p.m. (et).
<< Pens Hall, Scuderi out after surgery
Pittsburgh, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pittsburgh Penguins forward Adam Hall
underwent successful surgery Wednesday to repair a sports hernia and will be
sidelined four to six weeks.
Hall has played in 44 games for the Penguins this sea
<< Sens fire Paddock
Ottawa, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Ottawa Senators fired coach John Paddock
Wednesday and announced general manager Bryan Murray will return to the bench
as coach.
Details to follow...
<< Panthers release Carr, bring back Muhammad
Charlotte, NC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Carolina Panthers ended
quarterback David Carr's short tenure with the team Tuesday, but also brought
one of the franchise's most established veterans back into the fold, signing
free ag
<< Twins sign 16 including Liriano, Bonser
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Minnesota Twins signed 16 players
Wednesday, including starting pitchers Francisco Liriano and Boof Bonser.
Liriano missed the entire 2007 season after undergoing reconstructive left
elbow sur
Red Bulls' Kovalenko shipped to RSL for draft pick >>
Secaucus, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Red Bulls announced on Wednesday
that they have acquired a conditional 2010 MLS SuperDraft selection from Real
Salt Lake in exchange for midfielder Dema Kovalenko.
"We want to thank Dema for his
Roye released by Browns >>
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cleveland Browns released defensive
tackle Orpheus Roye on Wednesday, ending an eight-year stint with the club.
Roye, 35, has been in Cleveland since signing with the Browns in 2000, and has
played
Bills release RB Thomas, three others >>
Orchard Park, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Buffalo Bills released veteran running
back Anthony Thomas and three others Wednesday.
The team also waived goodbye to cornerback Jerametrius Butler, linebacker Coy
Wire and offensive lineman Aaron Me
SPL leaders Rangers hammer Hearts, keep 4-point lead >>
Glasgow, Scotland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jean-Claude Darcheville and Nacho Novo
each scored two goals to lead Scottish Premier League leaders Rangers past
Hearts, 4-0, on Wednesday to stay four points clear of defending champions
Celtic.
MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined
Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.
"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."
Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)
According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.
As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).
Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.
Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at
17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.
*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007
New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers
By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.
"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."
While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."
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BILLS (+10) at Steelers SPORTSBOOK LINES
It's impossible to gauge how a team will react after something like the Steve Everett situation, and it probably doesn't matter. That being said, the Bills are going to lose several games this year where they keep things close but fall short in the end to superior teams. Ben Roethlisberger and company could have a field day against Buffalo's decimated defense, but I like the Bills to cover.
BENGALS (-7) at Browns SPORTSBOOK LINES
All you can ask out of your NFL team is that it has a plan. You may not always agree with it as a fan, but as long as it appears the organization is going in some sort of direction, you have to go with it. Which brings us to the Cleveland Browns. You flip a coin to determine whether Chuck Frye or Derek Anderson should start the preseason opener. You start Frye in Week 1, but pull him in the first half. And then you deal him to the Seahawks for a sixth-round pick? Hmm... the Bengals could get six turnovers again this week.
COLTS (-7) at Titans SPORTSBOOK LINES
Tennessee signed ex-Colts cornerback Nick Harper in the offseason so that should help slow down Peyton Manning. Just ask Jason David and the Saints. Oh wait... One of these weeks, I'm going to learn to not pick against Tennessee, which has won seven of its last eight games. But it's not happening against Indy.
TEXANS (+6.5) at Panthers SPORTSBOOK LINES
Houston's Mario Williams, the first pick in the '06 draft, has more touchdowns than Reggie Bush after one week. Somehow I don't see that lasting. Meanwhile, Carolina bottled up what was expected to be a pretty high-octane offense in St. Louis in Week 1. Could this be the Panthers' defense everyone expected last year? Maybe. This feels like a 20-16 Carolina win.
RAMS (-3) vs. 49ers SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Absolutely love this game. Everyone's favorite pick for this year's surprise team -- the 49ers -- laid an egg on Monday night (not that anyone was watching with the game ending in the middle of the night for those of us on the East Coast). St. Louis wasn't much better, delivering a lackluster effort against the Panthers that included two Steven Jackson fumbles and panic from his fantasy owners. Jackson rebounds this week, and the Rams get their first win.
PACKERS (+1.5) at Giants SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Do you really trust this guy to win an NFL game if Eli Manning can't go? I say no. I'd feel alot better about this Packers team if it had any semblance of a running game, but I still think Green Bay's defense is good enough to give it a 2-0 start.
JAGUARS (-10) vs. Falcons SPORTSBOOKS LINES
Does it scare me to pick Jacksonville to cover a double-digit spread after it scored just 10 points last week against the Titans? Absolutely. But can I bring myself to pick Atlanta under any circumstances? No. Check out this poll on ajc.com. It asks what Atlanta's most urgent deficiency is: offense, defense, specials teams or all of the above. "All of the above" has 57 percent of the votes. Ouch.
SAINTS (-3) at Buccaneers SPORTSBOOKS LINES
I'm picking way too many road teams this week. Oh well. New Orleans has had some time to reflect on its lackluster showing in the opener, and the Buccanneers just aren't a very good football team. Anyone else surprised Tampa Bay hasn't made a move to sign Byron Leftwich? I thought that's what they do.
VIKINGS (+3) at Lions SPORTS BETTING LINES
Run the ball and stop the run. Minnesota can do both, and that will keep them in a lot of games this season. Even though it was only one week, Adrian Peterson looks like he was a steal at No. 7 in last year's draft. Not only will he produce, but Peterson delivers excitement to what otherwise would be one of the league's most boring teams.
DOLPHINS (+3.5) vs. Cowboys SPORTS BETTING LINES
Lost in the Tony Romo lovefest is just how bad the Cowboys' defense was last week. I know they're banged up, but Dallas' 'D' allowed 438 yards to the Giants' offense, and backup running back Derrick Ward averaged 6.8 yards per carry. Meanwhile, Cam Cameron's decision to split carries between Ronnie Brown and Jesse Chatman sounds about as can't-miss as Larry David's plan to show up to Marty Funkhouser's party a night late. Still, gotta go with Miami to cover at home.
SEAHAWKS (-2.5) at Cardinals SPORTS BETTING LINES
I'm probably missing something, but this game seems too easy. Arizona blew Monday night's game against the 49ers in typical Cardinals fashion, and the Seahawks beat Tampa Bay by two touchdowns. Love Seattle in this one.
BRONCOS (-9.5) vs. Raiders SPORTS BETTING LINES
Special teams was a major story line in Week 1. Take a look at the Broncos. They had to rush on to the field to get a Jason Elam field goal as time expired against the Bills. Denver drove into Buffalo territory on eight of 10 drives but came away with just a pair of field goals and a touchdown. Look for more scoring from the Broncos this week against an Oakland defense that gave up 36 points to Detroit in Week 1.
BEARS (-12) vs. Chiefs SPORTS BETTING LINES
Everyone talks about Rex Grossman when dissecting the Bears' offense, but Chicago's quarterback got no help in last week's loss to the Chargers. Meanwhile, Kansas City confirmed what we all thought while watching Hard Knocks: The Chiefs are going to stink this year. It could be a rough first month for Larry Johnson fantasy owners. Kansas City's RB was limited to 43 yards on 10 carries in Week 1, and the Chiefs face the Bears, Vikings and Chargers the next three weeks, all formidable run defenses.
RAVENS (-10) vs. Jets SPORTS BETTING LINES
A big dose of Willis McGahee and a usual sound defensive effort will give the Ravens their first win. According to Football Outsiders, no team in the NFL rushed only three defenders on pass plays last year more than the Jets. And according to my special Jets correspondent Ben Stauber, New York did the same in Week 1. Whoever starts at quarterback for the Ravens should have all day to throw.
PATRIOTS (-3) vs. Chargers
Friends and I were discussing how Bill Belichick goes about paying his $500,000 fine for cheating. Does he just write one check to the NFL? Do you need some sort of clearance to make such a monstrous financial transaction? I guess I shouldn't complain about the security deposit I have to put down on my new apartment. Anyway, two of the league's best teams square off in what should be a good one Sunday night. The Patriots always respond well just when you think they're in trouble. And their offensive attack was the story in Week 1.
Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting.
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